The Canada-India travel market is feeling the impact of Canada’s significant reduction in foreign student visas, which has added uncertainty for travellers amidst growing diplomatic tensions. As Diwali approaches on November 1, many travellers are hesitant to board flights to India due to the ongoing crisis between the two nations.
Travel agent Behl shared that many clients, including those who had booked trips for Diwali, are reconsidering their plans. One of his employees, Rubinder Kaul, expressed concerns about her temporary work visa status and the possibility of being barred from re-entering Canada. “My main worry is, what if they ban re-entry? I’m not a permanent resident yet,” Kaul explained.
Behl has advised clients to stay calm and await further guidance from the Indian Consulate. Despite the uncertainty, airlines are continuing with their plans. Air India is set to increase its Delhi-Toronto service, and Air Canada is launching a new Calgary-London-Delhi route, despite a decline in travel between the two countries during the peak student travel season from July to September.
The Canada-India travel market, serving over 2.2 million passengers annually, is largely supported by students, business travelers, migrants, and those visiting family. Indian nationals make up a significant portion of foreign students in Canada, but earlier this year, the Canadian government announced a 35% reduction in student visas, with an additional 10% cut expected in 2025.
Diplomatic tensions between Canada and India escalated following allegations that India’s government was involved in the assassination of a Sikh separatist leader on Canadian soil. The situation intensified this week as both countries recalled their top diplomats. Immigration consultant Kuldeep Bansal predicts significant delays in visa processing due to the reduction in diplomatic staff. “If processing times were four to six weeks, expect them to double during this busy period,” he advised.
As diplomatic challenges mount, Immigration, Refugees, and Citizenship Canada has stated that remaining diplomats in India will focus on critical tasks, including visa processing and immigration medical exams.
This diplomatic strain comes as frequent travelers express growing concern over geopolitical instability. A 2024 survey by Global Rescue revealed that 30% of experienced travelers now view geopolitical risks as the most significant factor in their travel plans.